Do Mock Trials Predict Actual Trial Outcomes?

Much More than a Hunch

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In order to obtain the right information, one must ask the right questions. The question of whether mock trials predict actual trial outcomes is a critical one as the policy implications for trial planning and settlement decisions are enormous.

This article explores when and how prediction is achieved, and whether this amounts to “dumb luck” or whether something else is going on. Are there systematic factors that allow one to achieve the goal of predictive utility in mock trial research?

In this article understand:

  • Do mock trials predict actual trial outcomes?
  • Can mock trials predict actual trial outcomes?
  • How to design and implement research
  • How predictive utility is obtained

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